Upon flipping a coin ten times and having ten successive “heads” as an outcome, is heads or tails more likely on the eleventh toss? Surely it’s tails? Wrong! It is a 50/50 chance of course! Every time!
You may have fallen into this trap before – the “Gambler’s Fallacy” – where there is a tendency to think that future probabilities are influenced by past events. It’s just one example of cognitive slip ups earthlings often make. Judgement errors happen to everyone regardless of age, gender, intelligence or education. The brain is sifting through many hundreds of subconscious processes even if we are only concentrating on one thing at a time. Misplaced judgement is a fundamental principle behind the ideas of motivation and success. I have designed this post more for entertainment as it is only a quick skim, but all the topics and ideas behind them, are as solid as concrete.
1. Self fulfilling prophecy.
This is a prediction which causes itself to become real by engaging in patterns of thought that get results from the confirmation of existing ideas. This goes back thousands of years. Roman legends for example: Romulus and Remus (the founders of Rome) were placed in a basket as infants, and thrown in the river Tiber after their uncle feared they would overthrow and kill him. Romulus and Remus were rescued by a she-wolf and eventually discovered their identity as teenagers, leading them to kill their Uncle and fulfil the prophecy. (more…)




